Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 4.494583 5.183040 5.907090 6.722125 7.610836 8.547415 9.605941
2024-12-29 3.652096 4.638513 5.741029 7.051142 8.552091 10.205185 12.150577
2025-01-05 3.018041 4.194405 5.583714 7.313463 9.377605 11.731820 14.589376
2025-01-12 2.477811 3.760344 5.356464 7.429717 9.993500 13.005314 16.755364
2025-01-19 1.989028 3.304523 5.029669 7.363368 10.345917 13.944044 18.525387
2025-01-26 1.680161 3.033810 4.894175 7.500244 10.923685 15.143916 20.613923
2025-02-02 1.427143 2.797920 4.768734 7.620484 11.460771 16.286149 22.638063
2025-02-09 1.143008 2.465491 4.466164 7.465028 11.610892 16.924415 24.030241
2025-02-16 0.911891 2.174475 4.186085 7.307249 11.731463 17.507445 25.344569
2025-02-23 0.758681 1.986759 4.037336 7.316290 12.064147 18.359070 27.003017
2025-03-02 0.607482 1.771195 3.818163 7.198741 12.203919 18.946146 28.317339
2025-03-09 0.552020 1.731836 3.879979 7.501996 12.940313 20.338505 30.698385
2025-03-16 0.458759 1.597652 3.772769 7.544073 13.312343 21.260880 32.499219
2025-03-23 0.420511 1.577641 3.861955 7.897766 14.146718 22.830314 35.184948
2025-03-30 0.377125 1.536149 3.907230 8.180043 14.880602 24.272519 37.720453
2025-04-06 0.321370 1.449873 3.859896 8.304998 15.378939 25.392673 39.835255
2025-04-13 0.254807 1.314066 3.702033 8.233141 15.571969 26.082814 41.371787
2025-04-20 0.217567 1.249822 3.676647 8.380711 16.099319 27.248821 43.566931
2025-04-27 0.184228 1.186012 3.644026 8.510340 16.597154 28.375342 45.715873
2025-05-04 0.137002 1.053689 3.450589 8.342626 16.619425 28.814252 46.916193
2025-05-11 0.099276 0.932898 3.264291 8.172340 16.625960 29.223358 48.073000
2025-05-18 0.077009 0.861628 3.180179 8.182091 16.917503 30.048364 49.815996
2025-05-25 0.054263 0.768230 3.029497 8.055178 16.978395 30.529807 51.076394